the uncertainty of suspension bridges

Uncertainty is the name of the game

Market Ethos.
17 October 2022

Last Wednesday, if you somehow had a premonition that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was NOT going to show signs of cooling but instead surprise to the upside to bring core CPI to its highest annual pace in four decades, you would have expected markets to tumble on Thursday.

And you would have been right until about 11 a.m., when markets didn’t just get back to breakeven, but went on to post strong gains. The S&P 500 intraday range from the lows in the morning to the highs at the close was about 5%. The biggest angst for the markets this year has surely been the path and stickiness of inflation, so it befuddles the mind to make sense of Thursday’s market reaction, even with Friday giving back some of the gains.

Related articles

Market Ethos

Déjà vu

June 25, 2024. Market Ethos. Using the 1990s dotcom bubble as a loose comparison, is this 1997, 1998, 1999 or 2000? Are the four horsemen…

2 minute read

Market Ethos

Is inflation beat? Not so fast.

June 17, 2024. Market Ethos. We think inflation might cool more, but counter forces will probably limit the improvements. If the economy reaccelerates, inflation could…

2 minute read

Market Ethos

Everything in moderation

June 10, 2024. Market Ethos. Investors should start to think differently about portfolio construction and diversification. Call it diversifying your diversification.

2 minute read